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Daily Brief

What changed, what matters, what resolves soon.

Generated from the current Polymorph market snapshot.

Generated at: 2026-03-12T01:16:26.942726+00:00

Biggest Movers

  • Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?0.0% move · 48.5% implied probability · high liquidity
  • Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?-21.7% move · 45.2% implied probability · meaningful price move
  • Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?-0.1% move · 48.9% implied probability · high liquidity
  • Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?-14.5% move · 6.3% implied probability · meaningful price move
  • Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?+10.2% move · 23.1% implied probability · meaningful price move

Upcoming Resolutions

  • Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Resolves at 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z · urgency 2.0
  • Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Resolves at 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z · urgency 2.0
  • Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Resolves at 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z · urgency 2.0
  • Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Resolves at 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z · urgency 2.0
  • Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Resolves at 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z · urgency 2.0